Solid line = floor (spellings that unambiguously belong to the group). Shaded band up to the dashed edge = ceiling (the most it could reach if every ambiguous spelling counted here).
Shirley was more common in the past and has since settled at a lower, steady level. All-time it's been given to 701,648 U.S. babies, the 2,075th most common name by sound today, peaking at 43,141 in 1935, with 133 in 2025.
By sound, Shirley also includes the spellings Shirlee.