Solid line = floor (spellings that unambiguously belong to the group). Shaded band up to the dashed edge = ceiling (the most it could reach if every ambiguous spelling counted here).
Frances has been climbing in recent years. All-time it's been given to 921,043 U.S. babies, the 473rd most common name by sound today, peaking at 23,229 in 1918, with 1,857 in 2025.
By sound, Frances also includes the spellings Francis.